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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nilah Miller 14.4% 15.6% 14.6% 12.6% 11.1% 10.5% 7.5% 6.2% 3.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Gregory Walters 12.3% 13.2% 12.8% 12.7% 14.0% 11.1% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.3% 11.9% 11.5% 9.2% 8.1% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Jacob Usher 27.4% 22.1% 15.8% 12.8% 9.2% 6.0% 3.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Street 10.8% 10.9% 11.9% 11.2% 11.7% 10.2% 9.3% 8.8% 7.1% 5.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Nicholas Patin 7.5% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 10.0% 11.2% 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 7.7% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
John Cole McGee 5.3% 7.0% 6.7% 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 10.1% 11.1% 11.1% 9.6% 7.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Robert Prause 4.7% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 7.1% 9.4% 9.7% 11.6% 12.1% 11.6% 7.8% 3.6% 0.9%
Samuel Trimble 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.5% 9.7% 13.6% 17.7% 18.3% 10.8%
Henry Parker 3.3% 4.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 12.6% 11.2% 7.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Christine Moore 0.9% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.2% 7.8% 13.9% 21.9% 38.5%
Grayson Berrier 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.8% 6.0% 10.0% 15.7% 22.6% 25.9%
Crispin Martin 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 5.7% 7.3% 11.8% 18.6% 20.8% 21.1%
Trevin Brown 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 5.3% 5.7% 7.1% 8.2% 9.9% 10.3% 11.6% 13.4% 10.1% 6.6% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.