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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.72vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.40+0.41vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+3.14vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75+1.93vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-0.25vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+0.63vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.71-1.32vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-1.86vs Predicted
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9William and Mary1.37-2.48vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.50-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-3.29vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.76-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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2.41Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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6.14Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.93Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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6.63Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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5.68Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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6.14Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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6.52William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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8.62St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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7.88Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 14.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 37.7% | 23.9% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 33.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.