← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.73+3.33vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel1.22+2.66vs Predicted
-
3Duke University0.06+3.09vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53-0.96vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina0.63+0.18vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.13-0.23vs Predicted
-
8The Citadel-0.52-0.25vs Predicted
-
9University of Georgia-1.51+1.37vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-0.41-2.22vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+1.02vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina-2.03-0.62vs Predicted
-
13University of Tennessee-1.92-1.75vs Predicted
-
14Clemson University-0.77-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Clemson University0.7314.4%1st Place
-
4.66The Citadel1.2212.3%1st Place
-
6.09Duke University0.067.5%1st Place
-
3.04North Carolina State University1.5327.4%1st Place
-
5.18University of South Carolina0.6310.8%1st Place
-
6.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.5%1st Place
-
6.77University of North Carolina-0.135.3%1st Place
-
7.75The Citadel-0.524.7%1st Place
-
10.37University of Georgia-1.511.2%1st Place
-
7.78The Citadel-0.413.3%1st Place
-
12.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.9%1st Place
-
11.38University of North Carolina-2.030.9%1st Place
-
11.25University of Tennessee-1.920.9%1st Place
-
8.33Clemson University-0.772.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nilah Miller | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Gregory Walters | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Jacob Usher | 27.4% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ian Street | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Nicholas Patin | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
John Cole McGee | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Robert Prause | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 10.8% |
Henry Parker | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Christine Moore | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 38.5% |
Grayson Berrier | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 22.6% | 25.9% |
Crispin Martin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 21.1% |
Trevin Brown | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.