← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.98+2.08vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California3.58+1.91vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85+2.62vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University2.74+1.80vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Davis2.13+2.10vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles2.21+0.05vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine2.83-2.50vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.92-3.65vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Stanford University3.980.3%1st Place
-
3.91University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
-
5.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.8Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.05University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
-
5.5University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Doane | 27.9% | 21.6% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Vetter | 17.1% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Soper | 8.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Samuel Harrison | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 26.8% |
| Cody Shevitz | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% |
| Mark Anders | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
| Jack Porter | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 6.6% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.