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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+3.24vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.63+2.09vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+1.93vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.53-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.13+0.60vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.06-1.09vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.77+0.15vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.52-1.36vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.41-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-1.00vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.03-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Clemson University0.7314.8%1st Place
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4.59The Citadel1.2212.4%1st Place
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5.09University of South Carolina0.6310.9%1st Place
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5.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.2%1st Place
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3.0North Carolina State University1.5327.4%1st Place
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6.6University of North Carolina-0.135.7%1st Place
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5.91Duke University0.067.3%1st Place
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8.15Clemson University-0.773.2%1st Place
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7.64The Citadel-0.523.8%1st Place
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7.47The Citadel-0.414.3%1st Place
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10.0University of Georgia-1.511.5%1st Place
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10.9University of North Carolina-2.030.9%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Walters | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.4% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Trevin Brown | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Robert Prause | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Henry Parker | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 20.8% | 23.1% | 13.8% |
| Grayson Berrier | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 26.9% | 32.0% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.