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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nathan Fast 5.7% 6.3% 8.6% 11.9% 10.2% 12.7% 12.5% 12.9% 10.0% 5.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 6.9% 6.4% 9.1% 9.5% 11.6% 10.8% 12.2% 11.9% 10.4% 7.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Michael Russom 16.2% 17.6% 17.5% 13.6% 12.0% 10.2% 6.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 35.1% 24.7% 17.9% 11.3% 5.5% 2.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.3% 12.6% 13.5% 12.5% 13.1% 10.5% 10.5% 7.2% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 6.2% 8.8% 9.8% 9.0% 12.7% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 9.0% 7.3% 3.9% 0.0%
Hilary Grantmyre 4.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 8.1% 11.0% 12.7% 17.5% 22.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 6.9% 6.4% 9.1% 9.5% 11.6% 10.8% 12.2% 11.9% 10.4% 7.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.4% 7.3% 5.4% 11.2% 9.5% 10.0% 11.2% 11.4% 11.9% 10.8% 6.9% 0.0%
Andrew Green 3.3% 4.2% 3.3% 4.8% 4.5% 8.2% 9.5% 9.4% 13.3% 18.1% 21.4% 0.0%
Bill Parker 5.1% 6.6% 7.1% 7.5% 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 11.5% 13.9% 10.4% 7.1% 0.0%
Steven Ross 1.7% 2.0% 4.7% 4.1% 4.5% 6.2% 6.0% 10.0% 11.3% 18.4% 31.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.