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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+4.95vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.80vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.40-1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-0.30vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-0.19vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.76+0.90vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-2.03vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.40-2.52vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.87-2.10vs Predicted
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11William and Mary1.37-4.46vs Predicted
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12St. John's College0.50-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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5.97Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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2.49Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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4.7University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.81Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.9Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.97Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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6.48Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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6.54William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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8.46St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 16.2% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 35.1% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.