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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.06+4.89vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.22+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.15+2.94vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.73-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.13+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.63-1.90vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.77+0.16vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.52-1.41vs Predicted
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10The Citadel-0.41-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.51-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.03-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Duke University0.067.6%1st Place
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4.63The Citadel1.2211.4%1st Place
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5.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.157.3%1st Place
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3.0North Carolina State University1.5327.3%1st Place
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4.26Clemson University0.7314.9%1st Place
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6.69University of North Carolina-0.135.9%1st Place
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5.1University of South Carolina0.6310.8%1st Place
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8.16Clemson University-0.772.5%1st Place
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7.59The Citadel-0.524.0%1st Place
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7.33The Citadel-0.414.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
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10.98University of North Carolina-2.031.1%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Walters | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.3% | 21.8% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 14.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Cole McGee | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Street | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 2.5% |
| Robert Prause | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Henry Parker | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 14.1% |
| Grayson Berrier | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 27.4% | 33.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 22.3% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.