← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.82vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.65+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.40-0.46vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University1.40+2.87vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.71+0.92vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech1.65+0.07vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo0.87+0.91vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland2.18-3.38vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University1.75-3.30vs Predicted
-
10Queen's University0.76-1.80vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary1.72-5.20vs Predicted
-
12St. John's College0.50-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.82University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
-
6.07Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
2.54Fordham University3.400.3%1st Place
-
6.87Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
-
5.92Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
-
6.07Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.91University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
-
4.62University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.7Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.2Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.8William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
-
8.55St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 15.1% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 34.3% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.