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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Russom 15.1% 18.2% 17.2% 14.6% 11.5% 11.7% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 6.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 11.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.4% 11.1% 8.3% 3.7% 0.0%
Alex Jacob 34.3% 24.9% 17.3% 10.5% 6.2% 3.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 3.9% 5.7% 5.6% 7.7% 8.4% 8.5% 12.8% 14.0% 13.4% 11.4% 8.6% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 6.9% 7.4% 9.3% 9.7% 11.0% 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 10.0% 7.7% 3.8% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 6.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.7% 11.2% 12.0% 12.1% 11.4% 11.1% 8.3% 3.7% 0.0%
Andrew Green 2.0% 3.6% 3.5% 6.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.9% 11.4% 13.3% 17.7% 20.3% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.4% 13.7% 12.9% 14.4% 11.3% 11.8% 9.2% 7.1% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 7.9% 7.4% 9.7% 10.7% 12.5% 11.3% 10.1% 10.5% 10.5% 7.1% 2.3% 0.0%
Hilary Grantmyre 2.5% 3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.7% 11.3% 12.8% 18.3% 25.5% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 8.0% 6.7% 9.0% 10.2% 11.2% 11.9% 12.7% 10.4% 10.4% 6.3% 3.2% 0.0%
Steven Ross 1.4% 2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 5.4% 5.0% 6.7% 8.7% 12.3% 19.5% 31.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.