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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.71+5.06vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+4.08vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.40-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.17vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland2.18-1.18vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.40-0.28vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.76-0.03vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-3.27vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.50-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-3.22vs Predicted
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12William and Mary1.72-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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6.08Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.58Fordham University3.400.3%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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6.08Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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6.72Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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7.97Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.73Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.69St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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5.74William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fast | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 32.2% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 17.3% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 18.1% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.