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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.10+4.05vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+2.18vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+1.25vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.16-0.77vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.63+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.17vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.83-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.26-1.81vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.41-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.29-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.83-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.1011.0%1st Place
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4.18The Citadel0.1916.6%1st Place
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3.98The Citadel0.3318.0%1st Place
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5.25University of North Carolina-0.2410.4%1st Place
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4.23Clemson University0.1616.1%1st Place
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6.49The Citadel-0.636.9%1st Place
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9.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.481.9%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.8%1st Place
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6.83Duke University-0.835.8%1st Place
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8.19University of South Carolina-1.263.8%1st Place
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8.39Clemson University-1.412.9%1st Place
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10.31University of North Carolina-2.291.6%1st Place
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11.25University of Georgia-2.831.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finch | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 18.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camden Hom | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 5.1% |
| Max Braun | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Eli Perl | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 26.6% |
| Abigail Austin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 19.8% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.