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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+3.21vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.10+3.07vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.92vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.16+0.29vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.83+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+1.89vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.63-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.26-1.03vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.24-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.29-0.56vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-1.41-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.83-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21The Citadel0.1915.2%1st Place
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5.07North Carolina State University-0.1011.3%1st Place
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3.92The Citadel0.3319.8%1st Place
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4.29Clemson University0.1616.1%1st Place
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6.73Duke University-0.835.9%1st Place
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7.85University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.214.0%1st Place
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8.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.483.1%1st Place
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6.45The Citadel-0.636.3%1st Place
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7.97University of South Carolina-1.263.2%1st Place
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5.3University of North Carolina-0.2410.8%1st Place
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10.44University of North Carolina-2.291.0%1st Place
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8.54Clemson University-1.412.5%1st Place
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11.36University of Georgia-2.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 15.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 19.8% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 9.8% |
| Camden Hom | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eli Perl | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 26.7% |
| Max Braun | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.