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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+1.43vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.81vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.71+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-0.27vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40+0.65vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-1.42vs Predicted
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8St. John's College0.50+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.87-1.09vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.37-3.47vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.76-3.11vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.65-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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6.01Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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6.65Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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5.58Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.49St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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6.53William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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7.89Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 36.2% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 15.5% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.6% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.