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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+3.16vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.10+3.12vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.24+1.36vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.16-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+3.09vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.83-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-0.30vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.63-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.26-1.94vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-1.41-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.29-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.83-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16The Citadel0.1916.4%1st Place
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5.12North Carolina State University-0.1010.7%1st Place
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3.91The Citadel0.3319.9%1st Place
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5.36University of North Carolina-0.249.7%1st Place
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4.32Clemson University0.1614.8%1st Place
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9.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.2%1st Place
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6.68Duke University-0.835.7%1st Place
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7.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.214.7%1st Place
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6.42The Citadel-0.635.9%1st Place
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8.06University of South Carolina-1.264.5%1st Place
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8.36Clemson University-1.413.6%1st Place
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10.38University of North Carolina-2.291.4%1st Place
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11.44University of Georgia-2.830.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 19.9% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 8.5% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Camden Hom | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Alana Vodicka | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Max Braun | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Eli Perl | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 23.9% | 25.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 18.6% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.