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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland2.18+3.80vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.40+0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.80vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.40+2.80vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+0.99vs Predicted
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6St. John's College0.50+2.62vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.65-1.01vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.37-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.87-1.32vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.76-1.86vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.75-5.37vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.71-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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2.43Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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6.8Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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8.62St. John's College0.500.0%1st Place
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5.99Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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6.46William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
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8.14Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.63Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.65Webb Institute1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Prucnal | 8.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 36.8% | 24.7% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 16.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Ross | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 0.0% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Fast | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.