Race 4B

uncw

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Will Finch 11.3% 10.8% 10.7% 12.5% 12.1% 11.3% 9.2% 8.8% 6.4% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Camden Hom 8.0% 7.3% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 8.8% 8.9% 5.7% 2.6% 1.1%
Andrew Tollefson 19.1% 17.4% 14.8% 13.5% 12.6% 8.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Reichhelm 15.2% 16.0% 13.4% 13.5% 12.4% 9.5% 7.4% 6.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 15.4% 14.4% 14.7% 12.8% 11.1% 9.5% 8.7% 5.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 10.3% 11.5% 11.2% 10.7% 10.2% 10.5% 11.0% 8.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Ryan Ringel 6.2% 6.3% 7.4% 5.5% 8.3% 8.9% 11.3% 11.2% 11.0% 9.8% 7.5% 5.1% 1.1%
Felicity Davies 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3% 12.8% 16.0% 16.2% 8.7%
Max Braun 2.9% 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.2% 6.3% 8.2% 8.3% 11.9% 13.7% 13.9% 12.3% 5.9%
Alana Vodicka 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.9% 4.8% 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 10.2% 12.9% 15.3% 12.3% 3.7%
Sam Woodley 3.9% 3.9% 5.2% 4.4% 6.5% 8.3% 8.4% 10.5% 12.6% 13.2% 12.2% 7.8% 3.2%
Eli Perl 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.8% 9.7% 13.4% 23.3% 26.3%
Abigail Austin 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 4.2% 5.8% 9.0% 17.9% 49.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.