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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+1.26vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland2.18+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.33vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+1.38vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.72+0.15vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.13+0.41vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.65-1.62vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.40-2.05vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.76-1.83vs Predicted
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10St. John's College0.30-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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4.27University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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5.38Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.15William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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6.41Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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5.38Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.95Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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7.17Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.07St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 40.4% | 27.0% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 18.2% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 39.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.