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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+1.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+3.35vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland2.18-0.82vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65-0.65vs Predicted
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7St. John's College0.30+0.98vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.76-0.72vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University1.40-3.16vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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5.35Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.27William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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4.18University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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5.35Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.98St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
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7.28Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.84Syracuse University1.400.0%1st Place
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6.46Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 39.6% | 27.8% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 17.4% | 21.8% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.