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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+3.15vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.10+3.21vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.16+1.31vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.24+0.28vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33-2.08vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.83-0.18vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-1.41+0.29vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48-0.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-1.26-2.00vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-3.07vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.29-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-2.83-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15The Citadel0.1917.3%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University-0.1010.9%1st Place
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4.31Clemson University0.1615.2%1st Place
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6.36The Citadel-0.636.8%1st Place
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5.28University of North Carolina-0.2410.0%1st Place
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3.92The Citadel0.3317.0%1st Place
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6.82Duke University-0.836.4%1st Place
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8.29Clemson University-1.412.9%1st Place
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8.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.6%1st Place
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8.0University of South Carolina-1.264.5%1st Place
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7.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.214.0%1st Place
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10.45University of North Carolina-2.291.5%1st Place
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11.39University of Georgia-2.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 17.0% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Max Braun | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
| Alana Vodicka | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Sam Woodley | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Eli Perl | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 25.1% | 26.2% |
| Abigail Austin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.