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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alex Jacob 40.0% 25.8% 15.2% 10.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Russom 19.0% 20.5% 17.2% 16.8% 11.6% 7.4% 4.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Hilary Grantmyre 2.5% 3.9% 5.8% 5.3% 5.2% 9.6% 9.6% 16.5% 21.6% 20.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 5.4% 9.7% 11.9% 13.6% 13.0% 13.2% 13.5% 10.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 7.8% 8.1% 11.5% 9.8% 14.6% 14.5% 14.2% 9.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 6.1% 7.0% 7.4% 10.8% 12.1% 11.8% 15.3% 12.7% 10.4% 6.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 7.8% 8.1% 11.5% 9.8% 14.6% 14.5% 14.2% 9.7% 6.8% 3.0% 0.0%
Cornell Lee 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.4% 4.9% 5.9% 8.8% 13.7% 19.8% 37.5% 0.0%
Joshua Prucnal 11.7% 14.6% 15.8% 15.3% 14.5% 12.6% 6.5% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
James Codega 3.5% 4.7% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 13.2% 13.0% 14.7% 15.6% 10.3% 0.0%
Andrew Green 2.7% 4.0% 5.2% 6.0% 9.8% 9.5% 13.6% 14.1% 15.6% 19.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.