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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.37vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.76+4.26vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.72+1.23vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65+0.26vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.40-0.17vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.65-1.74vs Predicted
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8St. John's College0.30+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland2.18-4.80vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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11University of Buffalo0.87-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
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7.26Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
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5.23William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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5.26Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.83Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.26Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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8.12St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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6.46Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 40.0% | 25.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 19.0% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 21.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.