← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.16+3.41vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.10+3.27vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.19+1.28vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.24+1.38vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel-0.63+1.61vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel0.33-2.06vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+2.47vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University-1.41+0.85vs Predicted
-
9University of Tennessee-1.96+1.25vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-1.26-1.55vs Predicted
-
11Duke University-0.83-3.98vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21-3.87vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina-2.29-2.09vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia-2.83-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.41Clemson University0.1615.2%1st Place
-
5.27North Carolina State University-0.1011.1%1st Place
-
4.28The Citadel0.1916.4%1st Place
-
5.38University of North Carolina-0.2410.1%1st Place
-
6.61The Citadel-0.636.2%1st Place
-
3.94The Citadel0.3317.6%1st Place
-
9.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.7%1st Place
-
8.85Clemson University-1.412.9%1st Place
-
10.25University of Tennessee-1.961.8%1st Place
-
8.45University of South Carolina-1.264.1%1st Place
-
7.02Duke University-0.835.9%1st Place
-
8.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.6%1st Place
-
10.91University of North Carolina-2.291.7%1st Place
-
12.01University of Georgia-2.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Reichhelm | 15.2% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 16.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 17.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felicity Davies | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.8% |
| Max Braun | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Blessington | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.2% |
| Alana Vodicka | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Eli Perl | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 21.8% | 22.6% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.