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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+7.97vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+2.30vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.95vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.10+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.24+0.21vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.63+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+0.84vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.83-1.28vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.16-4.81vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.41-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.29-0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.83-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.26-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.482.8%1st Place
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4.3The Citadel0.1915.7%1st Place
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3.95The Citadel0.3318.6%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University-0.1010.1%1st Place
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5.21University of North Carolina-0.2410.5%1st Place
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6.33The Citadel-0.636.2%1st Place
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7.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.213.9%1st Place
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6.72Duke University-0.836.2%1st Place
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4.19Clemson University0.1617.2%1st Place
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8.39Clemson University-1.413.3%1st Place
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10.45University of North Carolina-2.291.2%1st Place
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11.45University of Georgia-2.830.9%1st Place
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8.0University of South Carolina-1.263.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felicity Davies | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 9.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 15.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 18.6% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Finch | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Camden Hom | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Woodley | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 17.2% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Braun | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Eli Perl | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 24.1% | 25.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 50.5% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.