← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.65+4.30vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary1.72+3.22vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.40-0.75vs Predicted
-
4St. John's College0.30+4.10vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech1.65+0.30vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.69vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University1.40-1.15vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.13-1.46vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland2.18-4.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo0.87-3.01vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University0.76-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.22William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
-
2.25Fordham University3.400.4%1st Place
-
8.1St. John's College0.300.0%1st Place
-
5.3Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
3.31University of Pennsylvania2.680.2%1st Place
-
5.85Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
-
6.54Webb Institute1.130.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
6.99University of Buffalo0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.23Queen's University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 37.9% | 27.3% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cornell Lee | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 19.0% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| James Codega | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 10.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Green | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Hilary Grantmyre | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.