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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.19+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.24+3.36vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.16+1.35vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.21+2.76vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.10-0.97vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.83-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.48+0.96vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.63-2.66vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.41-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-2.29-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-2.83-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-1.26-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33The Citadel0.1915.2%1st Place
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5.36University of North Carolina-0.2410.0%1st Place
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4.35Clemson University0.1615.0%1st Place
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3.85The Citadel0.3318.9%1st Place
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7.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.214.4%1st Place
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5.03North Carolina State University-0.1011.9%1st Place
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6.69Duke University-0.836.3%1st Place
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8.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.483.2%1st Place
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6.34The Citadel-0.636.8%1st Place
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8.4Clemson University-1.413.2%1st Place
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10.4University of North Carolina-2.291.3%1st Place
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11.34University of Georgia-2.830.7%1st Place
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8.18University of South Carolina-1.263.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Buck | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Graham Reichhelm | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 18.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Will Finch | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Felicity Davies | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
| Camden Hom | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Max Braun | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 5.6% |
| Eli Perl | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 24.4% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 50.5% |
| Alana Vodicka | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.