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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+7.21vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+2.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11-0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.18vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.43+1.76vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-0.98vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.45-2.48vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.11-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.60-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.00-4.55vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-2.79vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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2.03Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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6.76Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.02William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.52Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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7.33Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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8.21Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.88St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 43.6% | 28.8% | 16.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 12.8% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 27.0% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.