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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.98+2.08vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University2.74+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.58+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine2.83+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis2.13+2.08vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.85-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles2.21+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley2.60-1.93vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92-3.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Stanford University3.980.3%1st Place
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5.83Santa Clara University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Southern California3.580.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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5.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.850.1%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Los Angeles2.210.0%1st Place
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6.07University of California at Berkeley2.600.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Doane | 27.9% | 21.8% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Harrison | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Christopher Vetter | 17.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Porter | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 26.6% |
| Patrick Soper | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Mark Anders | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 22.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.