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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.72vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+5.18vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.45+0.81vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-0.72vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-0.97vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43-0.37vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.11-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.60-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.00-4.52vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-2.82vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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3.72University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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8.18Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.81Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.03William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.63Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.33Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.48University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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8.18Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.86St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 44.9% | 28.5% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 14.4% | 17.3% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 10.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 25.8% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 23.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 20.0% | 55.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.