← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.55+1.78vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University0.93+1.51vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.15+0.25vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College0.34+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.97-0.84vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.33-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78Brown University1.5526.1%1st Place
-
3.51Tufts University0.9315.2%1st Place
-
3.25Tufts University1.1517.8%1st Place
-
4.51Connecticut College0.347.8%1st Place
-
4.16Salve Regina University0.978.6%1st Place
-
2.79Brown University1.3324.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 26.1% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.2% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 13.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 17.8% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 9.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 40.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 22.4% | 27.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 24.6% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.