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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.68vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+2.12vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+1.75vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.64-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+2.77vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.45-2.51vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.24-0.04vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.43-2.18vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.11-2.69vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-3.04vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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3.68University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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5.12William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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4.24Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.49Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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7.96Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.82Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.31Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.96Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.84St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 44.5% | 26.9% | 16.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 14.0% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 11.0% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 28.5% | 22.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.