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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+2.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+1.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33-0.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55-1.23vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.34-0.53vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Tufts University1.1519.1%1st Place
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3.45Tufts University0.9314.4%1st Place
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2.85Brown University1.3324.4%1st Place
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2.77Brown University1.5524.6%1st Place
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4.47Connecticut College0.348.8%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University0.978.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 19.1% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.4% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 11.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 24.4% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 5.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 24.6% | 23.4% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 40.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 23.7% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.