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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+2.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+1.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33-0.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55-1.23vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.34-0.47vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Tufts University1.1519.8%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University0.9314.3%1st Place
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2.8Brown University1.3324.9%1st Place
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2.77Brown University1.5525.2%1st Place
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4.53Connecticut College0.347.4%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University0.978.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 19.8% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 8.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.3% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 11.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 24.9% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 4.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 25.2% | 23.2% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 40.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.