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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+1.06vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.45+2.63vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+5.19vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.43+2.90vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.29-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.26vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo1.00-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.60-0.32vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.11-2.68vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-2.81vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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4.63Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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8.19Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.9Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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4.12Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.32Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.19Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.86St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 43.7% | 27.2% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 13.3% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.1% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.9% | 27.1% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 18.7% | 55.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.