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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+1.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33-0.17vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+0.21vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.34-0.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Tufts University0.9315.2%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University1.1517.2%1st Place
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2.83Brown University1.3323.6%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University0.979.8%1st Place
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4.5Connecticut College0.347.4%1st Place
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2.75Brown University1.5526.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 15.2% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 17.2% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 23.6% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 29.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 22.6% | 38.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 26.7% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.