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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+1.01vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.24+6.07vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.81vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+0.42vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.45-0.37vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11+1.51vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo1.00-1.58vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.29-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.60-0.28vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-3.32vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-2.93vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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8.07Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.81University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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4.42Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.63Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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7.51Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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4.87William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.68Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.07Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.85St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 44.9% | 27.7% | 15.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 13.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 9.1% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 9.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 29.7% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 22.0% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 56.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.