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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+2.56vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+1.25vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.52+1.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33-1.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55-2.16vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Tufts University0.9314.4%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University1.1517.3%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College0.5210.0%1st Place
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2.84Brown University1.3325.2%1st Place
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2.84Brown University1.5524.1%1st Place
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4.26Salve Regina University0.978.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Andreasen | 14.4% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 14.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 17.3% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 9.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 32.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 25.2% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 24.1% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 5.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.