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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.74vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+2.28vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11-0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+1.71vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.45-0.33vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-1.01vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+0.92vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.11-0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.60-0.27vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-3.33vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-3.08vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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4.28Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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2.05Fordham University3.110.4%1st Place
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5.71University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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4.67Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.35Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.67Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.92Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.88St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Johns | 13.0% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 44.6% | 28.2% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 26.9% | 22.3% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 18.7% | 56.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.