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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+1.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+1.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+0.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.52+0.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97-0.68vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Brown University1.3322.0%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University1.1518.9%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University0.9315.3%1st Place
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4.25Connecticut College0.529.4%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University0.978.0%1st Place
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2.78Brown University1.5526.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 22.0% | 23.4% | 21.4% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 18.9% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.3% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 15.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 31.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 32.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 26.4% | 21.9% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.