← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.74vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University3.11+0.01vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute1.45+1.76vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.24+4.26vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University1.64-0.73vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary1.29-0.98vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University0.43-0.42vs Predicted
-
8University of Buffalo1.00-2.57vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University0.11-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech-0.24-1.74vs Predicted
-
11University of Maryland-0.60-2.36vs Predicted
-
12St. John's College-1.46-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.74University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
-
2.01Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
-
4.76Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
-
8.26Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.27Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.02William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
-
6.58Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.41Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.26Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
8.64University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.89St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Johns | 12.7% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 46.5% | 25.4% | 15.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 23.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.