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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+1.82vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.93+1.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+1.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33-1.14vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.15-1.74vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Brown University1.5525.5%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University0.9315.8%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University0.978.9%1st Place
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2.86Brown University1.3323.1%1st Place
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3.26Tufts University1.1517.6%1st Place
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4.27Connecticut College0.529.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 25.5% | 21.3% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 15.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 15.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 32.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 23.1% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 17.6% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 9.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.