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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+2.74vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+2.99vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+5.19vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+1.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11-3.00vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.45-1.34vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64-2.87vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43-1.37vs Predicted
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9Queen's University0.11-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.60-1.38vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-2.81vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-1.46-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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4.99William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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8.19Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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2.0Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
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4.66Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.63Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.44Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.19Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.87St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Johns | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 46.2% | 27.7% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 26.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 56.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.