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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Buffalo1.00+3.90vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.24+5.20vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.34vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+0.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11-3.20vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11+0.55vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.24+0.20vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.46+1.03vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.43-3.04vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.60-2.23vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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7.2Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.34University of Pennsylvania1.950.2%1st Place
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4.36William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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1.8Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
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6.55Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.2Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.03St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.96Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.1Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Iozzo | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 15.2% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 7.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 51.5% | 28.9% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 23.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 59.6% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 2.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 10.3% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.