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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+2.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+0.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.33-0.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52-0.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Tufts University1.1517.8%1st Place
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2.85Brown University1.5524.8%1st Place
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2.85Brown University1.3324.3%1st Place
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4.25Salve Regina University0.978.9%1st Place
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4.27Connecticut College0.529.3%1st Place
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3.53Tufts University0.9314.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 17.8% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 10.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 24.8% | 21.2% | 21.2% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 24.3% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 32.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 31.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 14.8% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.