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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.29+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo1.00+2.95vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.24+4.26vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11-2.17vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.76vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.45-1.94vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.11-0.37vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.43-2.06vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.24-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.60-2.22vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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1.83Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
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3.24University of Pennsylvania1.950.2%1st Place
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4.06Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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6.63Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.94Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.26Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.97St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Guinn | 8.6% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 48.9% | 29.8% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 16.8% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 10.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 23.9% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 28.2% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 59.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.