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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+1.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+0.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+0.61vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15-0.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97-0.62vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Brown University1.3324.4%1st Place
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2.77Brown University1.5526.2%1st Place
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3.61Tufts University0.9313.9%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University1.1519.3%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University0.977.8%1st Place
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4.2Connecticut College0.528.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 24.4% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 5.8% |
| Emily Mueller | 26.2% | 21.3% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 19.3% | 18.6% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 8.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 35.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 8.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.