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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.24+6.16vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.31vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.43+3.09vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.45+0.12vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11-3.22vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+1.73vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.11-0.37vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.29-3.68vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00-4.11vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.46-1.03vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.24-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.31University of Pennsylvania1.950.2%1st Place
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6.09Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.12Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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1.78Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
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7.73University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.63Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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4.32William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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8.97St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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7.16Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 15.3% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 8.5% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 52.9% | 26.9% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 28.2% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 8.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 58.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 24.2% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.