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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.36+5.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California3.16+0.66vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.64-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.68+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.23-4.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-0.19vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.45University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.47Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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9.81University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Grove | 3.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Rex Cameron | 16.9% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Lue | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Peter Stemler | 22.8% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Lee | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 9.7% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 15.8% |
| William Petersen | 13.0% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 59.8% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.