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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+0.85vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.24+5.24vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.45+1.17vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29+0.37vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.43+0.93vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo1.00-4.09vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.24-2.76vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-1.46-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Fordham University3.110.5%1st Place
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7.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.17Webb Institute1.450.1%1st Place
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4.37William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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5.93Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.53Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Pennsylvania1.950.2%1st Place
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7.76University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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7.24Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.95St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 52.3% | 24.5% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 9.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 6.3% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Anders Brown | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 15.9% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 5.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 23.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Branham Talton | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.