← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.54+1.39vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.59+1.97vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.76+0.56vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.95vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College0.68+0.80vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+2.11vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.12-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Amherst College-0.64-0.44vs Predicted
-
10Wesleyan University-1.20-0.36vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.38-4.59vs Predicted
-
12Brandeis University-1.44-1.85vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-1.17-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.39Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
-
3.97Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
-
3.56Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
-
4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
-
5.8Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
-
8.11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
-
4.79Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
-
8.56Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.64Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
-
6.41McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
-
10.15Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.66Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 36.3% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 13.1% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 17.8% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cynthia Connard | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Jackson Chabot | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.3% |
| Earl Lin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 23.5% |
| Olivia Wright | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 23.8% | 35.0% |
| Peter Novello | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.