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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+2.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.40vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+0.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.95vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.38+1.47vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.68-1.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.12-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.95vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.64-1.42vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-1.41vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.17-2.30vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.44-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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6.47McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.83Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.58Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.7Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.13Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 35.9% | 27.9% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 15.1% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 7.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Wright | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Cynthia Connard | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Chabot | 10.5% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 22.0% | 23.9% |
| Peter Novello | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.