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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.76+2.60vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.92vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-0.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.96vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.38+1.48vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.68-0.18vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.12-2.22vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-0.64+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-0.94vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-0.39vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.17-2.28vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.44-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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3.92Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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2.37Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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4.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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6.48McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.82Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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4.78Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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8.58Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.61Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.72Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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10.13Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Swanson | 16.9% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 12.4% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 37.9% | 24.5% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Wright | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Cynthia Connard | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Chabot | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 9.2% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Earl Lin | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 24.6% |
| Peter Novello | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 23.2% | 24.4% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.