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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.68+4.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+0.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.98vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-1.35vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.38+0.51vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.64+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39+0.01vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.12-4.25vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.20-0.43vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-1.44-0.86vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.17-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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2.37Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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3.92Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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3.65Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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6.51McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.53Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.75Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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9.57Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.14Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.69Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Connard | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Colin Meade | 37.8% | 26.1% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 17.2% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Wright | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Jackson Chabot | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 23.9% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 35.3% |
| Peter Novello | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.