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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+1.38vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59+1.95vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.12+1.86vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-1.35vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.64+1.63vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.17+1.50vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.38-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-1.95vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.68-5.27vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.44-1.82vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-1.20-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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3.95Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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3.65Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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8.63Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.5Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.44McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.73Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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10.18Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.75Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 36.4% | 26.7% | 16.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 13.1% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 7.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 16.5% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 9.0% |
| Peter Novello | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 22.4% |
| Olivia Wright | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Cynthia Connard | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Spiro | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 36.2% |
| Earl Lin | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 22.2% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.