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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College-0.64+7.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54+0.35vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.38+3.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.12+0.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76-1.38vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.05vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.68-1.27vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.17+0.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59-6.19vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.20-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-3.77vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-1.44-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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2.35Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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6.48McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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4.89Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.62Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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5.73Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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9.53Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University1.590.1%1st Place
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9.58Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.14Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Uttormark | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
| Colin Meade | 37.1% | 26.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Wright | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Chabot | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 17.2% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Connard | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Novello | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 22.8% | 22.7% |
| Evan Gregory | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Earl Lin | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Spiro | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 18.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.