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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+1.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.12+2.84vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.59+0.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.95vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.38+1.49vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.20+3.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76-4.47vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.68-3.27vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.64-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.39-2.96vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.44-1.86vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.17-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Tufts University2.540.3%1st Place
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4.84Boston University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.91Northeastern University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.1%1st Place
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6.49McGill University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.71Wesleyan University-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.53Brown University1.760.2%1st Place
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5.73Middlebury College0.680.1%1st Place
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8.59Amherst College-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.14Brandeis University-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.67Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 34.9% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Chabot | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Gregory | 16.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rodriguez Fuentes | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Wright | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Earl Lin | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 26.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 18.0% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Connard | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Uttormark | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Michelle Guidotti | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Spiro | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 24.1% | 34.9% |
| Peter Novello | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.