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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.77+1.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+0.03vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+0.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24+0.48vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.31-0.44vs Predicted
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6Bates College-2.06+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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2.03Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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3.16Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.56McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.41Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sudol | 38.2% | 31.3% | 19.0% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Pierre DuPont | 38.0% | 34.2% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Minot Frye | 12.4% | 18.7% | 31.0% | 20.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 4.1% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 24.2% | 28.4% | 19.4% | 5.7% |
| Emmet Austin | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 22.5% | 28.0% | 20.7% | 7.5% |
| William Sartorius | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 68.7% |
| Maggie McDonald | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 39.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.