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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.78+2.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.77+0.07vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24+1.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.81-1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02+0.42vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.31-1.45vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.06-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.07Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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2.08Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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5.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.55McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.3Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minot Frye | 14.7% | 18.7% | 28.7% | 20.9% | 12.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Sudol | 37.0% | 32.8% | 19.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 6.1% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 24.4% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 6.3% |
| Pierre DuPont | 36.1% | 32.4% | 21.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McDonald | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.5% | 20.1% | 38.3% | 20.4% |
| Emmet Austin | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 23.0% | 26.4% | 21.3% | 7.5% |
| William Sartorius | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 17.0% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.