Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathaniel Hartwell 12.3% 12.7% 10.9% 12.1% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 6.7% 6.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 13.0% 13.1% 11.4% 11.8% 11.0% 10.1% 9.2% 7.4% 5.7% 3.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Joseph Murphy 9.7% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 10.2% 8.6% 9.3% 9.1% 9.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Elizabeth Frost 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 12.0% 10.2% 9.0% 8.8% 9.1% 6.6% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Joseph Bonacci 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 7.2% 9.7% 9.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.4% 8.5% 6.3% 4.2% 3.3% 0.7%
James Lilyquist 16.2% 13.8% 16.2% 11.6% 9.8% 10.5% 7.2% 6.7% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Kayla Maguire 4.0% 4.9% 3.6% 4.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.6% 12.1% 11.8% 10.8% 8.3% 2.9%
William Roberts 4.0% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 9.5% 8.5% 11.6% 12.4% 11.8% 7.1% 2.4%
Charlotte Stillman 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.1%
Nathaniel Adams 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.2% 5.3% 7.9% 9.2% 11.3% 16.9% 16.7% 10.0%
Alexa Whitman 9.5% 9.2% 10.8% 9.3% 9.5% 9.2% 10.5% 8.4% 8.4% 7.1% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 8.1% 10.0% 16.6% 20.2% 16.1%
Andrew Martin 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 12.0% 14.7% 20.8% 14.1%
Sarra Salah 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 4.3% 6.0% 8.8% 15.8% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.