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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.16+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine3.43+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.23+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.43+4.77vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.64-2.42vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University2.36-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-3.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis1.68-1.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Irvine3.430.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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9.77University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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3.58Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.18Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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7.88University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lue | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Rex Cameron | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 13.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 59.2% |
| Peter Stemler | 19.9% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 12.2% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 8.8% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.