← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.77+1.04vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.78+1.14vs Predicted
-
3McGill University-0.31+1.54vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.81-1.92vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02-0.59vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-2.06-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
-
3.14Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.54McGill University-0.310.1%1st Place
-
2.08Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
-
4.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
-
5.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
-
6.29Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Sudol | 38.9% | 31.7% | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 12.9% | 20.4% | 28.1% | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Emmet Austin | 5.8% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
| Pierre DuPont | 35.3% | 33.2% | 21.8% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 3.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 25.1% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 7.2% |
| Maggie McDonald | 2.1% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 20.0% | 37.2% | 21.1% |
| William Sartorius | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.