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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02+4.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.77+0.05vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24+1.45vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.31+0.59vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.78-1.80vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.81-3.93vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.06-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
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2.05Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.59McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.2Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.07Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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6.31Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie McDonald | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 34.7% | 21.1% |
| Katherine Sudol | 36.0% | 35.8% | 18.0% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 5.0% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 22.7% | 28.7% | 20.1% | 5.2% |
| Emmet Austin | 3.1% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 26.1% | 22.3% | 7.7% |
| Minot Frye | 13.4% | 16.3% | 30.7% | 22.2% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Pierre DuPont | 39.1% | 30.3% | 18.6% | 9.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Sartorius | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.