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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.77+0.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+0.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24+0.49vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.31-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02-0.59vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.06-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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2.06Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.16Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.56McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.3Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 40.0% | 30.2% | 19.5% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Sudol | 36.6% | 34.9% | 18.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Minot Frye | 12.1% | 19.2% | 30.9% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 20.0% | 5.3% |
| Emmet Austin | 4.3% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 23.3% | 26.0% | 22.1% | 7.3% |
| Maggie McDonald | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 35.2% | 22.2% |
| William Sartorius | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.