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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-0.13+3.30vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.10+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.31+1.54vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-1.51+2.76vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-1.41+1.69vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.67+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.46-2.20vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-3.26vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.68-6.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Jacksonville University-0.1312.2%1st Place
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3.45Rollins College0.1018.9%1st Place
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4.54University of South Florida-0.3112.1%1st Place
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6.76Embry-Riddle University-1.513.2%1st Place
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6.69Florida State University-1.412.4%1st Place
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7.03Embry-Riddle University-1.672.5%1st Place
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4.8University of Central Florida-0.469.1%1st Place
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4.74Florida Institute of Technology-0.489.6%1st Place
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2.7University of Miami0.6830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 18.9% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 22.9% | 27.0% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 25.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 34.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Josh Becher | 30.1% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.