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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.08vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.31+2.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.77-0.95vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.78-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02+0.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-1.52vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.06-0.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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4.5McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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2.05Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.18Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.31Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 36.9% | 33.3% | 19.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Austin | 4.8% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 27.7% | 20.0% | 6.9% |
| Katherine Sudol | 36.9% | 33.7% | 20.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Minot Frye | 14.1% | 16.2% | 29.2% | 23.4% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Maggie McDonald | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 38.8% | 20.2% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 4.4% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 23.0% | 27.6% | 19.8% | 6.4% |
| William Sartorius | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.