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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.81+1.04vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.31+2.52vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.78+0.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.77-1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.02+0.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.24-1.53vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.06-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Tufts University1.810.4%1st Place
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4.52McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.17Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.1Brown University1.770.4%1st Place
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5.39University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.32Bates College-2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre DuPont | 38.7% | 33.4% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Austin | 4.7% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 28.9% | 19.9% | 6.8% |
| Minot Frye | 12.9% | 18.7% | 29.2% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Sudol | 36.1% | 31.5% | 22.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McDonald | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 39.0% | 20.1% |
| Sarah Mountjoy | 4.8% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 23.6% | 27.0% | 20.0% | 6.3% |
| William Sartorius | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.