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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-0.13+3.33vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.10+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.46+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.68-1.34vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.51+1.74vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-1.24vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.31-2.41vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.99vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.41-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Jacksonville University-0.1311.2%1st Place
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3.44Rollins College0.1019.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Central Florida-0.468.9%1st Place
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2.66University of Miami0.6831.1%1st Place
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6.74Embry-Riddle University-1.512.8%1st Place
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4.76Florida Institute of Technology-0.489.6%1st Place
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4.59University of South Florida-0.3111.6%1st Place
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7.01Embry-Riddle University-1.672.9%1st Place
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6.68Florida State University-1.412.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Josh Becher | 31.1% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 26.8% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 11.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 33.7% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.