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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-0.13+3.31vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.10+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.68-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31-0.52vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-1.41+0.58vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.48-2.27vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.91vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.51-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Jacksonville University-0.1312.8%1st Place
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3.43Rollins College0.1018.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Miami0.6829.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Central Florida-0.468.9%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida-0.3111.4%1st Place
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6.58Florida State University-1.413.9%1st Place
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4.73Florida Institute of Technology-0.4810.0%1st Place
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7.09Embry-Riddle University-1.672.6%1st Place
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6.82Embry-Riddle University-1.512.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella DesChamps | 12.8% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 18.2% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Josh Becher | 29.4% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 22.1% | 23.5% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 36.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.