← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.58+8.62vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.05+5.91vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.11+8.45vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.73+1.35vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.91-0.12vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.32+3.38vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.36-1.47vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.93-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University3.26-2.84vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College3.52-4.81vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut1.96+0.05vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire1.52+0.05vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.56-4.71vs Predicted
-
15Wesleyan University1.49-1.62vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College1.53-2.74vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-3.51vs Predicted
-
19Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.62University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.91University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
11.45Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.35Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
4.88Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
-
4.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
-
10.38Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.53Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
8.07Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.16Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
6.19Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
12.05University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
-
9.29Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
-
13.38Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
13.26Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
-
14.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
13.53Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ceely | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 15.8% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Paice | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Molly Haley | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
| Karl Ryder | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 27.4% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.