← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University3.26+6.15vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.58+7.67vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.05+3.63vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.73+0.40vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.93+2.19vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.52+6.17vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.52-1.96vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.11+2.19vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.91-4.94vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy1.38+2.81vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.32-1.23vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University3.36-6.49vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.20vs Predicted
-
16University of Connecticut1.96-4.32vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University1.49-3.54vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.53-4.67vs Predicted
-
19Brown University2.56-9.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.67University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
-
7.63University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
-
5.4Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.19Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
-
13.17University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.04Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
11.19Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.06Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
-
13.81Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
-
10.77Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
6.51Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
14.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.68University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
-
13.46Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
-
13.33Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
-
9.28Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.4% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| William Bowman | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 19.9% |
| Ian Paice | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 24.8% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Molly Haley | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 14.6% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.