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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.68+1.66vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology-0.48+2.87vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.10+0.41vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.13+0.30vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.51+1.72vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.67+1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.46-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.31-3.40vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.41-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66University of Miami0.6831.1%1st Place
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4.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.488.3%1st Place
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3.41Rollins College0.1018.6%1st Place
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4.3Jacksonville University-0.1312.0%1st Place
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6.72Embry-Riddle University-1.513.5%1st Place
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7.04Embry-Riddle University-1.673.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Central Florida-0.469.5%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida-0.3110.5%1st Place
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6.66Florida State University-1.413.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Becher | 31.1% | 22.9% | 19.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 18.6% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ella DesChamps | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Josh Rosen | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 28.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 22.7% | 32.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.