Race 6B

saisa-south-spring-tournament-gregg-popp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Josh Becher 28.5% 21.3% 16.1% 13.2% 9.8% 6.1% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ella DesChamps 12.0% 11.2% 12.2% 12.0% 13.4% 12.5% 10.2% 8.8% 5.9% 2.0%
Carly Orhan 16.4% 18.6% 18.6% 13.4% 12.1% 9.2% 6.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.2%
Joseph McNaughton 2.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 5.3% 6.2% 8.6% 13.8% 19.9% 33.5%
Sofia Scarpa 8.8% 9.8% 10.0% 11.3% 12.1% 12.6% 13.7% 10.6% 7.2% 3.8%
Josh Rosen 3.1% 3.4% 4.6% 4.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.5% 14.1% 20.9% 26.3%
Marco Distel 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 10.6% 10.2% 13.5% 13.5% 12.8% 10.2% 5.4%
Sailor Mohrman 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.2% 11.1% 14.6% 18.6% 23.2%
Garrett Floerchinger 8.3% 11.1% 12.9% 12.3% 11.2% 13.2% 12.0% 9.4% 6.8% 2.8%
Julian Larsen 8.8% 10.4% 9.2% 12.9% 13.0% 11.6% 12.2% 10.9% 8.2% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.