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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine3.43+3.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.64+1.48vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.36+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.23+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.68+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California3.16-3.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.43-0.18vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University3.640.2%1st Place
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6.52Santa Clara University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Hawaii3.230.1%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.2%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
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7.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rex Cameron | 15.0% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 21.3% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| William Petersen | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Lee | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 21.0% | 9.7% |
| Stephen Lue | 13.0% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Aubrey Toole | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 24.0% | 14.6% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 60.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.