Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Lilyquist 15.7% 14.5% 13.4% 12.2% 10.1% 10.1% 8.1% 5.8% 5.4% 2.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Aston Atherton 13.9% 12.4% 12.8% 11.7% 11.4% 9.8% 8.6% 6.7% 5.3% 3.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elizabeth Frost 11.2% 11.8% 10.5% 11.3% 11.1% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 6.7% 4.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Nathaniel Adams 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 6.5% 6.3% 9.0% 13.3% 15.3% 17.5% 9.2%
Joseph Bonacci 8.0% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 7.6% 9.0% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 7.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Charlotte Stillman 5.9% 6.2% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.7% 8.3% 3.6% 1.0%
William Roberts 3.6% 3.8% 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.4% 9.0% 9.6% 11.6% 11.3% 9.9% 7.5% 2.6%
Joseph Murphy 8.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.4% 9.2% 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 8.2% 6.9% 4.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Nathaniel Hartwell 12.3% 12.0% 13.5% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 8.5% 7.5% 6.7% 3.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 9.8% 10.2% 8.8% 10.3% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 8.6% 8.1% 7.3% 4.3% 2.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 1.9% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 4.2% 4.5% 6.4% 6.6% 9.8% 15.4% 20.2% 17.9%
Kayla Maguire 4.3% 4.8% 4.3% 4.4% 5.9% 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.5% 12.3% 13.5% 10.8% 8.6% 2.6%
Andrew Martin 1.8% 2.4% 1.7% 2.9% 3.5% 2.8% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 9.0% 10.4% 14.8% 20.4% 14.2%
Sarra Salah 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 3.4% 5.9% 10.1% 17.1% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.