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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.15vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University3.26+5.23vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+3.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+1.53vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.51vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut1.96+4.86vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.49+5.35vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05-1.17vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.52+3.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.11+0.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.26vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.52-6.84vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.56-4.56vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.20vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.53-3.61vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.94-9.66vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.91Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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13.35Wesleyan University1.490.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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13.59University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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6.16Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University2.560.0%1st Place
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13.8Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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13.39Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 11.9% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Molly Haley | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 17.3% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.