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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.95+2.47vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.34+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+0.82vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+4.08vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-0.78vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84-1.02vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-1.17vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.45-2.19vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.09-2.02vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.48-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Florida State University1.9521.1%1st Place
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4.03Eckerd College1.3416.1%1st Place
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3.82University of South Florida1.4516.1%1st Place
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8.08Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.0%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University1.8714.1%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University0.8410.6%1st Place
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5.83Jacksonville University0.486.8%1st Place
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5.81Northwestern University0.457.0%1st Place
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6.98Rollins College0.094.0%1st Place
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7.78Northwestern University-0.482.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Mateo Rodriguez | 21.1% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
matthew Monts | 16.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Zachariah Schemel | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 39.4% |
Connor Mraz | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Stefanos Pappas | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
Joe Seiffert | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
Nikolas Chambers | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
Jackson McGeough | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 16.1% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.