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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mateo Rodriguez 21.1% 17.2% 18.8% 13.2% 11.3% 7.8% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
matthew Monts 16.1% 15.2% 14.4% 13.7% 13.8% 10.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.5% 0.8%
Zachariah Schemel 16.1% 17.3% 15.7% 14.5% 13.1% 10.1% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Brandon DePalma 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 11.1% 20.5% 39.4%
Connor Mraz 14.1% 14.5% 14.1% 13.7% 13.2% 11.1% 9.5% 6.3% 2.9% 0.7%
Stefanos Pappas 10.6% 11.3% 10.7% 11.1% 11.5% 12.7% 12.7% 10.7% 7.2% 1.5%
Joe Seiffert 6.8% 7.1% 6.9% 10.8% 9.6% 13.8% 13.5% 15.2% 10.8% 5.5%
Nikolas Chambers 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 10.8% 12.0% 14.1% 13.6% 12.3% 5.5%
Jackson McGeough 4.0% 4.4% 4.3% 6.7% 7.0% 9.3% 11.7% 17.0% 19.7% 16.1%
Aviva Kaplan 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 6.7% 8.9% 14.7% 21.8% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.