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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.91+4.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.73+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+6.92vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.87+8.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.56vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University3.26+1.10vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.93+1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05-0.20vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.96+3.00vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.52+3.65vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-2.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+2.86vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-6.37vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.03-6.29vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-1.62vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.94-8.64vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.11-6.46vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy1.38-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.14Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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7.1Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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12.0University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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13.65University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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14.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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6.63Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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13.38Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.72Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 18.4% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 14.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 32.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.