← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zachariah Schemel 17.7% 14.8% 16.2% 14.0% 12.4% 11.5% 7.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Mateo Rodriguez 20.8% 17.9% 17.2% 13.4% 12.2% 8.6% 5.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Stefanos Pappas 9.0% 10.7% 9.3% 12.8% 11.8% 11.8% 13.9% 11.0% 6.5% 3.2%
Connor Mraz 14.8% 14.8% 14.1% 14.0% 13.2% 10.3% 9.2% 5.6% 3.1% 0.9%
matthew Monts 14.6% 15.6% 13.8% 14.0% 13.0% 11.2% 8.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Nikolas Chambers 7.8% 8.0% 8.8% 9.3% 10.1% 12.4% 14.1% 13.0% 11.2% 5.3%
Joe Seiffert 7.3% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 10.9% 11.8% 14.1% 15.1% 11.6% 5.7%
Brandon DePalma 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 3.0% 4.3% 5.8% 6.7% 12.3% 20.7% 38.4%
Jackson McGeough 3.7% 5.4% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 9.9% 12.3% 15.8% 18.4% 15.8%
Aviva Kaplan 2.1% 3.1% 4.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.7% 8.2% 13.7% 23.4% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.