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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.96+11.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.56vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.94+5.53vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.93+4.24vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.87+7.13vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+0.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26-0.96vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.03-1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.91-4.89vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-1.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-6.19vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.11-1.68vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.38-0.33vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-2.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-2.25vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.52-4.44vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.90-10.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.08University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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12.13Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.78Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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7.04Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.67Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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14.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.56University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rottier | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Bowman | 14.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 10.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.6% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.6% |
| Karl Ryder | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 31.3% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.