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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.85vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.95+1.49vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+2.15vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+0.17vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.34-0.87vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45-0.31vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48-1.13vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+0.03vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.09-2.13vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.48-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of South Florida1.4517.7%1st Place
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3.49Florida State University1.9520.8%1st Place
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5.15Jacksonville University0.849.0%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University1.8714.8%1st Place
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4.13Eckerd College1.3414.6%1st Place
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5.69Northwestern University0.457.8%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University0.487.3%1st Place
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8.03Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.2%1st Place
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6.87Rollins College0.093.7%1st Place
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7.75Northwestern University-0.482.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Zachariah Schemel | 17.7% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Mateo Rodriguez | 20.8% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Stefanos Pappas | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
Connor Mraz | 14.8% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
matthew Monts | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Nikolas Chambers | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
Joe Seiffert | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 38.4% |
Jackson McGeough | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
Aviva Kaplan | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.