← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mateo Rodriguez 21.1% 18.5% 16.5% 13.9% 10.9% 9.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
matthew Monts 16.4% 13.4% 13.8% 14.2% 13.5% 11.3% 8.1% 5.6% 3.4% 0.4%
Zachariah Schemel 16.3% 16.8% 15.1% 15.3% 13.2% 8.2% 7.8% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Nikolas Chambers 6.7% 8.0% 7.6% 10.1% 10.4% 12.2% 13.6% 15.2% 10.8% 5.5%
Connor Mraz 15.1% 13.4% 14.6% 11.9% 14.1% 12.6% 8.7% 6.0% 2.9% 0.8%
Joe Seiffert 6.3% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.3% 11.8% 14.8% 13.5% 10.7% 6.3%
Brandon DePalma 2.3% 2.8% 1.8% 3.5% 3.6% 4.8% 8.1% 11.6% 22.1% 39.4%
Aviva Kaplan 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 3.4% 5.9% 6.2% 11.1% 13.8% 21.8% 29.0%
Jackson McGeough 3.2% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 6.4% 10.2% 11.5% 16.8% 19.2% 16.4%
Stefanos Pappas 10.2% 11.6% 11.7% 12.0% 12.8% 12.8% 11.1% 10.2% 6.0% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.