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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+4.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.90+6.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.11+8.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.46vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+3.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+0.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.03-0.14vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.93-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05-1.91vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-2.65vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.96+0.27vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.91-8.11vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.87-1.99vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.11vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-2.53vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-3.27vs Predicted
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19University of New Hampshire1.52-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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6.69Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.930.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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4.89Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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12.01Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.89Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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13.47Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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14.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.28University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel Salk | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Saldi | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Rottier | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| William Bowman | 14.9% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Baker | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 18.7% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 30.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.