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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+7.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.11+9.69vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+2.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+1.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.58vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.93+2.36vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-0.27vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.87+4.17vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.94-0.83vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.52+2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-3.46vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+0.37vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-1.59vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University3.26-8.82vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.96-4.88vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Brown University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.69Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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5.15Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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4.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.17Wesleyan University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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13.6University of New Hampshire1.520.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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14.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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7.18Northeastern University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Connecticut1.960.0%1st Place
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13.76Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| William Bowman | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 12.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 19.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Salk | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Baker | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Michael Saldi | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Humphrey | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 19.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Karl Ryder | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 26.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Rottier | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.